Peer-reviewed publication

Quantifying the Direct Secondary Health Care Cost of Seasonal Influenza in England

YHEC authors: Joe Moss, Richard Mattock, Stuart Mealing
Publication date: September 2020
Journal: BMC Public Health

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The winter pressure often experienced by NHS hospitals in England is considerably contributed to by severe cases of seasonal influenza resulting in hospitalisation. The prevention planning and commissioning of the influenza vaccination programme in the UK does not always involve those who control the hospital budget. The objective of this study was to describe the direct medical costs of secondary care influenza-related hospital admissions across different age groups in England during two consecutive influenza seasons.

METHODS: The number of hospital admissions, length of stay, and associated costs were quantified as well as determining the primary costs of influenza-related hospitalisations. Data were extracted from the Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) database between September 2017 to March 2018 and September 2018 to March 2019 in order to incorporate the annual influenza seasons. The use of international classification of disease (ICD)-10 codes were used to identify relevant influenza hospitalisations. Healthcare Resource Group (HRG) codes were used to determine the costs of influenza-related hospitalisations.

RESULTS: During the 2017/18 and 2018/19 seasons there were 46,215 and 39,670 influenza-related hospital admissions respectively. This resulted in a hospital cost of £128,153,810 and £99,565,310 across both seasons. Results showed that those in the 65+ year group were associated with the highest hospitalisation costs and proportion of in-hospital deaths. In both influenza seasons, the HRG code WJ06 (Sepsis without Interventions) was found to be associated with the longest average length of stay and cost per admission, whereas PD14 (Paediatric Lower Respiratory Tract Disorders without Acute Bronchiolitis) had the shortest length of stay.

CONCLUSION: This study has shown that influenza-related hospital admissions had a considerable impact on the secondary healthcare system during the 2017/18 and 2018/19 influenza seasons, before taking into account its impact on primary health care.

Peer-reviewed publication

Exploratory Cost-Effectiveness Model of Electromagnetic Navigation Bronchoscopy (ENB) Compared with CT-Guided Biopsy (TTNA) for Diagnosis of Malignant Indeterminate Peripheral Pulmonary Nodules

YHEC authors: Vicki Pollit, Stuart Mealing
Publication date: August 2020
Journal: BMJ

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: Lung cancer is accountable for 35 000 deaths annually, and prognosis is improved when the cancer is diagnosed early. CT-guided biopsy (transthoracic needle aspiration, TTNA) and electromagnetic navigation bronchoscopy (ENB) can be used to investigate indeterminate pulmonary nodules if the patient is unfit for surgery. However, there is a paucity of clinical and health economic evidence that directly compares ENB with TTNA in this population group. This cost-effectiveness study aimed to explore potential scenarios whereby ENB may be considered cost-effective when compared with TTNA.

METHODS: A cohort decision analytic model was developed using a UK National Health Service perspective. ENB was assumed to have equal sensitivity to TTNA at 82%. Lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gain were calculated to estimate the net monetary benefit at a £20 000 per QALY threshold. Sensitivity analyses were used to explore scenarios where ENB could be considered a cost-effective intervention.

RESULTS: Under the assumption that ENB has equal efficacy to TTNA, ENB was found to be dominant (less costly and more effective) when compared with TTNA, due to having a reduced risk and cost of adverse events. This conclusion was most sensitive to changes in the cost of intervention, estimates of effectiveness and adverse event rates.

DISCUSSION: ENB is expected to be cost-effective when the likelihood of an accurate diagnosis is equal to (or better than) TTNA, which may occur in certain subgroups of patients in whom TTNA is unlikely to accurately diagnose malignancy or when an experienced practitioner achieves a high accuracy with ENB.

Peer-reviewed publication

Improving Management of Glycaemic Control in People with T2DM in Primary Care: Estimation of the Impact on the Clinical Complications and Associated Costs

YHEC authors: James Mahon, Nick Hex
Publication date: August 2020
Journal: BMC Health Services Research

Abstract

BACKGROUND: To estimate the potential benefits in terms of avoided complications and cost reduction if the Spanish health system would encourage the intensification of treatment for better glycaemic control in adults with Type 2 diabetes from the current HbA1c target used in clinical practice of 68 mmol/mol to a target of 53 mmol/mol.

METHODS: The IQVIA Core Diabetes Model (version 9.0) was used to model the impact of these changes in respect of micro- and macrovascular complications and the associated costs. The modelling was based on data derived from the SIDIAP-Q population database from Catalonia, taking a random cohort of 10,000 people with type 2 diabetes and dividing it into sub-groups based on their baseline HbA1c.

RESULTS: The CDM modelling showed that the average cost reduction per person varies depending on baseline HbA1c. The model estimates that after 25 years, people with a baseline HbA1c between 48 and 58 mmol/mol and > 75 mmol/mol show an average cost reduction of €6027 and €11,966, respectively. Applying the per-person cost reduction to the cohorts of the prevalent population in Spain (1,910,374) the overall estimated cost reduction was €14.7 billion over 25 years. The improvements in outcomes resulted in an estimated reduction of more than 1.2 million complications cumulatively over 25 years, of which more than 550,000 relate to diabetic foot and more than 170,000 related to renal disease.

CONCLUSION: Over a 25 year period, Spain could considerably reduce costs and avoid major complications if, on a population level, more ambitious glycaemic control, according to Spanish or EU guidelines, could be achieved among people with type 2 diabetes by reducing the HbA1c threshold for treatment intensification. Although there is a slower trajectory for benefits in earlier years, there is a much more rapid benefit gain between years 5 and 15.

Peer-reviewed publication

A Systematic Literature Review and Bucher Indirect Comparison: Tildrakizumab versus Guselkumab

YHEC authors: Rachael McCool
Publication date: July 2020
Journal: Journal of Health Economics and Outcomes Research

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Psoriasis is a chronic inflammatory skin condition that impacts quality of life and requires long-term treatment and effective symptom management. Interleukin-23 (IL-23) has emerged as a key player in the pathogenesis of psoriasis and tildrakizumab and guselkumab are both immunomodulatory agents that inhibit the p19 subunit of IL-23. In its pivotal Phase III trial, tildrakizumab demonstrated greater efficacy than etanercept in moderate-to-severe psoriasis. However, there are no head-to-head trials comparing tildrakizumab with guselkumab.

METHODS: We conducted a systematic literature review and Bucher indirect comparison of tildrakizumab and guselkumab, using placebo as a common comparator. We searched MEDLINE, MEDLINE In-Process, MEDLINE(R) Daily Epub Ahead of Print, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials for Phase III randomized controlled trials between 1946 and November 2018. Inclusion criteria were adult patients =18 years with moderate-to-severe chronic plaque psoriasis, and intervention with tildrakizumab or guselkumab compared to placebo or best supportive care. Outcomes included were severity of psoriasis as defined by the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) 75 and PASI 90, frequency of serious adverse events (SAEs), and treatment discontinuations. Outcomes were evaluated at Weeks 12 to 16 and 24 to 28. Analysis was based on the intent-to-treat population and, for all outcomes, the number of events reported were analyzed as a proportion of the number of patients randomized to ensure consistency across trials.

RESULTS: Overall, 154 unique records were identified. Five studies met the eligibility criteria and were included in the analysis; two tildrakizumab trials (reSURFACE 1 and reSURFACE 2) and three guselkumab trials (VOYAGE 1, VOYAGE 2, and a Japanese study). There was no statistically significant difference between guselkumab and tildrakizumab for PASI 75, PASI 90, SAEs, and rate of discontinuations at either timepoint.

CONCLUSIONS: This study assessed the comparative efficacy of tildrakizumab and guselkumab for the treatment of moderate-to-severe psoriasis. Limitations included the limited number of publications, imputation of placebo arm values for Weeks 24 to 28, and limited relevance of the Japanese study. This indirect comparison does not provide evidence that one treatment is superior to the other.

Peer-reviewed publication

Standard Gamble to Derive Utility Health States for Limbal Stem Cell Deficiency

YHEC authors: Adam Smith, Matthew Taylor
Publication date: July 2020
Journal: ClinicoEconomics and Outcomes Research

Abstract

PURPOSE: To generate UK health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL) data for adult patients with moderate-to-severe limbal stem cell deficiency (LSCD), unilateral or bilateral, due to physical or chemical ocular burns to help inform economic evaluations of treatments.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: EQ-5D-3L with vision bolt-on scores was prospectively measured for one of five clinical scenarios of LSCD described in vignettes in a demographically representative population of 520 UK adults. These were converted to health state utilities using three different UK value sets. A standard gamble (SG) was then undertaken using 12 SG scenarios to examine the component drivers of health utility for the treatment of LSCD.

RESULTS: For the EQ-5D-3L scenarios, the mean disutility for LSCD with poor visual acuity, pain and disfigurement in both eyes compared to one eye was - 0.084 (range=- 0.156 to - 0.045 across the value sets). The mean disutility of bilateral LSCD with pain, disfigurement, and poor visual acuity compared to unilateral LSCD with only poor visual acuity in one eye was - 0.104 (range=- 0.151 to - 0.078). Similarly, where one eye was affected, pain and disfigurement in combination were associated with a greater mean disutility than improvements in visual acuity alone: - 0.011 (range=- 0.04 to 0.005). Mean SG utilities were within a narrow range (0.682- 0.765). Where one eye was affected, the main driver was disfigurement: mean utility was 0.731 (0.709- 0.753) compared to 0.682 (0.659- 0.704) when disfigurement was removed compared to vision restored to normal. For bilateral LSCD, mean utilities were 0.693 (0.672- 0.715) for normal vision and 0.75 (0.73- 0.771) when disfigurement and pain were removed.

CONCLUSION: Improvements in pain and disfigurement appeared to be the main factors driving differences in health utilities associated with symptom profiles in LSCD, with improvements in visual acuity having lesser impact.

Peer-reviewed publication

Systematic Reviews of Ten Pharmaceutical Pricing Policies – a Research Protocol

YHEC authors: Julie Glanville
Publication date: July 2020
Journal: Journal of Pharmaceutical Policy and Practice

Abstract

BACKGROUND: High prices of pharmaceutical products are an increasing challenge in high- and low-income countries. Governments in many countries have implemented pricing policies to ensure affordability of medicines to patients and healthcare systems. The World Health Organization published in 2015 the Guideline on Country Pharmaceutical Pricing Policies, which was based on a series of evidence reviews in the preceding years.

As part of the ongoing update of this guideline, we present a protocol for 10 systematic literature reviews on pharmaceutical pricing policies to be covered by the updated guideline.

METHODS: The systematic literature reviews will be undertaken according to the principles embodied in the Cochrane Handbook and Centre for Reviews and Dissemination. The interventions studied are pharmaceutical pricing policies implemented by public institutions or a group of purchasing organizations/individuals (e.g. health services). Studies reporting price, volume, availability and/or affordability as the primary outcomes will be eligible for inclusion. Studies in any country or jurisdiction, in any language and in any setting published in 2004 or later are eligible. Eligible study designs are randomized and non-randomized trials, and observational studies including cohort studies, panel data analyses, comparative time series design (including interrupted time-series and repeated measures studies), and controlled before-after studies. A list of 21 databases of peer-reviewed and grey literature will be searched, along with supplementary searches of relevant national and international organizational and governmental websites. Risk of bias will be assessed according to the Cochrane Effective Practice and Organisation of Care (EPOC) guidelines. A summary table according to the EPOC Worksheets for preparing a Summary of Findings table (SoF) using GRADE will be provided.

DISCUSSION: The results of the review will be used as part of the update of the WHO Guideline on Country Pharmaceutical Pricing Policies. The current protocol may serve as an example for performing systematic literature reviews to inform policy makers.

Peer-reviewed publication

Nutrition Economics: Are Cost-Effectiveness Data in Nutrition a Double Edged Sword for Nutrition Companies?

YHEC authors: Matthew Taylor
Publication date: June 2020
Journal: Integrative Food, Nutrition and Metabolism

Abstract

The health economic evidence of nutrition tends to be limited. An important reason is that nutritionals do not always fall under the coverage requirements for reimbursement, like pharmaceuticals, which often require health economic data. The objective of this paper is to assess the relevance of proactively generating cost-effectiveness data from a nutrition company perspective. After a general introduction into health economics, we will address the key question of this paper: Are cost-effectiveness data in nutrition a double edged sword for nutrition companies?

The conclusion is that, as things currently stand, nutrition companies should be cautious in proactively generating cost-effectiveness data in terms of cost per QALY. Disaggregated economic and outcomes data may be more relevant and less risky for nutrition companies.

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